Preparing for the Rogue Wave of Collapse

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Huge WaveSpend ten minutes on the web surfing the key words “Survival Skills” and you will be presented with site after site preaching the gospel of prepping for the time that the SHTF and TEOTWAWKI.  I don’t believe I need to explain those terms for you since, if you are reading this blog, you probably know what they mean.  Truth is, it is a bit bittersweet for me to see so many people (myself included) planning for a major meltdown of our natural resources, our food supply, our society, and quite possibly our planet.

It is as though we are preparing for a huge rogue wave that is headed our way: a 100 foot wall of disaster that is zooming toward us. We don’t know when it is coming, but soon.  And it is definitely coming.

Now wait just one second.  I have written about this before but now, as well as then, I have to step aside and ask whether all of this preparation – all of this frantic planning – is creating some sort of cosmic inertia that will somehow fulfill itself.  In psychology, this is called a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Prepping as a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy?  Huh?

From Wikipedia:

The self-fulfilling prophecy is, in the beginning, a false definition of the situation evoking a new behavior which makes the original false conception come ‘true’.

In other words, a prophecy declared as truth when it is actually false may sufficiently influence people, either through fear or logical confusion, so that their reactions ultimately fulfill the once-false prophecy.

I find this fascinating for a number of reasons.

First, there is factual truth to the occurrence of extreme climate and geologic events throughout the planet.  This may be a 1,000 year event, it may be global warming (jury is still out), or  it may be alien intervention.  Heck, I don’t know the science well enough to begin to understand why this is happening.

Second, we live in a period of economic strife.  While the rich elites are flaunting their wealth, the working stiffs with jobs are hanging on for dear life not knowing whether they will be the next victim of unemployment and homelessness.  Middle class? What middle class?  What we used to know as the middle class has now shrunk to the point that, by my observation, no one in what was formerly called the middle class is confident enough to say “Yes, life is good here in the middle.  I pay my bills with a little bit left over for beer on Friday night and I am secure knowing I will have a comfortable and fulfilling retirement.”

Third, and perhaps most telling, is that fact that so many of us are preparing for a dismal future.  Even the main stream bureaucracy has become involved and gone public with the emergency preparation mantra.  (See NASA Administrator Recommends Being Prepared to Employees and the CDC’s Preparedness 101: Zombie Apocalypse.)  The fabric our our daily life is changing as a result.  Because we expect the world situation to go from bad to worse, we are changing our attitudes, our habits, and our personal culture to adapt to a situation we think is going to occur.

And that is the crux of the matter.  We are planning for something bad to happen and in the planning, we will change the course of our individual life plan.  Are the facts mixed with speculation. Or are facts mixed with a fiction that becomes the new reality?  See what I mean about being fascinating?

Let me be clear.  I am not saying that prepping and acquiring survival skills is wrong.  And most surely, I am not saying that planning for self-reliance and survival  will lead to global food shortages and societal chaos.  Instead, I am throwing out the possibility and probability that life as we know it is indeed changing.  We are making it change, one baby step at a time, with each can of beans, with each bag rice, and with each barrel of water.

The life we are changing may be only a ripple when compared to some unknown, unpredictable catastrophe but it is a change none-the-less.  And perhaps that in itself is TEOTWAWKI.

Enjoy your next adventure, wherever it takes you  through common sense and thoughtful preparation!


Mark you calendars:  Have you heard of the Doctor Prepper Show?  No?  Doctor Prepper is James Talmage Stevens, author of Making the Best of Basics—Family Preparedness HandbookThe purpose of the radio show is to promote a preparedness lifestyle.  Who can argue with that?

Yours truly will be a guest on the Doctor Prepper Show at noon, CDT on Thursday, June 23rd.  The show will also be available as a podcast after the fact so watch for link late next week.

Backdoor Survival Tip of the Day:  I love my hummers.  You know, those tiny little birds that flock to the feeders flapping their wings a zillion times a minute and eating up a storm.  (They poo a lot too but that’s another story.)  Because of their voracious appetites, I keep plenty of sugar on hand so that I can make up batches of homemade bird juice.  None of that premade red stuff for my hummers.

So picture this.  Six 10 pound sacks of sugar in my cold damp garage for the duration of winter and a wet, rainy spring.  You got it.  I had six sacks of sugar-cement sitting in my garage – hardly usable.  But all was not lost.

Here is the trick to soften up those bricks of sugar:

Get a large Tupperware tub, pail or bucket with a tight lid and do the best you can to force the brick of sugar inside.  Once inside, open up the package then toss in five or six slices of fresh bread and seal it all up with the lid  One week later?  Yay!  The sugar is once again granulated and back to normal.

From the Bargain Bin:  This is an all points alert.  When I purchased by 12” cast iron skillet about six weeks ago, the price was just under $20.  Shortly after. the price jumped to about $28.  Holy moly.  I was looking for a 15” version today and saw the Lodge 12″ Pre-Seasoned Cast Iron Skillet at $17.95 with free shipping.  Now is the time to grab it!  And if I remember, later this week I will share my adventure in cooking a NY Steak in the cast iron skillet.  It was soooo good and soooo easy.

Emergency Essentials is a great source of food for long term storage as well as supplies.  I just received an email letting me know that they now have Mountain House products in stock.  This is great news since Mountain House foods have been backordered for quite some time.


Preparing for the Rogue Wave of Collapse — 8 Comments

  1. This is one of the most interesting and stimulating posts I’ve read in some time, as it actually makes one consider the possibility that we have already succumbed to a TEOTWAWKI state. After all, when so many peoples lives starts to even marginally change from one way of doing things and/or thinking about those same things, due in large to outside influences which we have no control over, isn’t it fair to suggest that the end of the world as we know it has actually begun?

    “-Are the facts mixed with speculation. Or are facts mixed with a fiction that becomes the new reality? See what I mean about being fascinating?-”

    Interesting question, SW. Personally, I feel that people frequently sprinkle their own speculations in with the facts. It’s a distortion of the truth, big or small, but a distortion nonetheless. Sometimes those same distortions can cloud a fact to the point where (and this can be very dangerous) it (the fact) is seemingly no longer anywhere near as attractive or as appealing as the distortion.

    Sometimes I catch myself wondering if some aren’t actually hoping for a cataclysmic event or events to transpire, a real end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it scenario, thereby validating everything they’ve worked so long and hard to prepare for. Now, in no way do I believe this type of self-fulfillment prophesier to be the norm, so please hold all the bashings. My point is this: there are some who would have us believe that EVERYTHING is bad, evil, counterproductive, a waste of time because all is soon to come crashing down. Us versus them; Boris and Natsha against Rocky and Bullwinkle; etc. 😉 THOSE sites that dwell on the negative but offer little advice in the way of a solution of any sort are the ones that I avoid at all costs. If everything is doomed then what the he.. are way prepping for anyway?

    My contention is now and will continue thusly: I hope to have a fighting chance at surviving IF the world goes to hell-in-a-handbasket even more than it already is, thus my ongoing preparations. But never (and I mean never) do I want to give up all hope that mankind cannot somehow miraculously right this seemingly sinking ship. Maybe I’m the eternal optimist, or perhaps just naive. But to hope for anything less would be giving up, and I cannot envision myself ever getting to that point.

    • Thank you for your comments, Rob. I very much agree that there are sites that promote doom and gloom with baited breath, hoping that bad things will happen so that they can prove themselves right. I learned early on in my journey to simply avoid these sites but I must admit, many are cleverly disguised and it is easily to get sucked in to their muck.

      You’ve heard the saying: “there isn’t a conspiracy I did not like”? Well, I think that attitude and mindset it out there and that it carries a loud voice. We need to recognize the differences between fact, fiction, speculation and prophecy. And as long as we can distinguish the differences in our own minds, there will be hope and optimism and a continued effort to learn from our mistakes and to move forward with the evolution of our society. S.W.

    • Rob, Sadly history shows us that for the most part these things happen as a way of righting the ship. I am sure that the citizens of the roman empire had the same feelings that we are starting to feel right now. I am sure that there was a fractional few that really saw through the smoke screen that the powerful elite had spread about the fact that the empire was doing just fine. Well it was doing just fine for them because they had a majority of the wealth at the time. But the Republic still fell. This is also true for most of classical civilization too. It is just part of a cycle that all civilizations go through. It is caused by elitism and an uneven distribution of wealth and power. For some reason we never seem to learn from history. My worst fear is that like those other civilizations that all of this goes very slowly and does not gain momentum like all the rest in history. In every case it has always been caused by the ruling class being given far to much power and not enough knowledge.

  2. A thought provoking post. I often wonder about the self fulfilling prophesy question as well. Then I recall that back in Y2k a lot of people were also seeing portents and predicting doom and gloom. I must’ve had about a week’s worth of water and food then and felt that was enough. Nothing happened in spite of all the prophesies. These days, it feels “different” with various disasters happening at the same time. We can’t deny that things have changed from a couple of years ago. I still cling to the hope that this is a temporary phase, but continue to prepare just in case.

    • If you will recall, the MSM and PTB were on board with the prepping for Y2K. There was a lot of work done behind the scenes to insure that our digital world did not fail – it was a humongous and costly effort. I don’t see a fraction of that level of attention being given to todays economic and planetary issues. So for now, people like us are learning to do it on our own, making our own preps and making an attempt to educate others, because as you say, it just feels different this time. It’s all so much – so much at once – and so difficult to understand from a pure logic point of view.

      Like you, I cling to the hope that this will pass, but I will be ready, just in case. (I often refer to the big “IF” which I hope does not happen.) S.W.

  3. Most who come here can probably see the “status quo” is unsustainable. Population is still growing, food production, energy production, and real economic activity are not growing. Also, the recent climatic optimum, (also called global warming) is fading, and weather volitility is increasing, which usually (looking back centuries) means cooling is ahead short term (6-60yrs but usually 22-44). Cooling and volitile weather impact food production. Since we live on a (mostly) finite planet, and may have already hit the economic limits of most resource extraction, it is unlikely food production efforts will be ramped up enough to maintain the current population, much less continue its growth.

    I don’t think we can know if a “Rogue Wave” of collapse is coming, but it is likely enough that preparing makes sense. Preparation efforts build resilience, and make a cascading collapse less likely, not more. If enough effort is directed to localise economic activity and support the population instead of trying to rescue vampire banksters at the population’s expense; it might be possible to engineer an orderly decline. There is little sign of organized effort in this direction yet, but i see individual effort everywhere. Who knows if it will be enough?

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